I think a big factor too is the schedule has sizzle but no steak.
Georgia and Miami are kinda just names, I am not sure either team is top 25 material right? How good is UNC going to be this year? BC, NC State, Wake, Miami Ohio, Navy, Temple...with competent QB play and a decent defense we should dispatch of these second/third team schools... The aforementioned Michigan State thing.
If the talent on this team is developed and the steroids are working, we should have a base level expectation of a 10 win season. And honestly, that should be the expectation every year given the talent on the roster... We have more talent than every team we play sans USC in just about any given year.
The great equalizer in terms of roster talent is QB play. That's how a Clemson, who averages about the 13th ranked recruiting class over a 5 year period, is able to beat Alabama.(#1 average in 5 year period) And I don't see a standout QB on our schedule outside Sam Darnold.