ND opened at -11, then went to -12 and all of a sudden have taken a clip to -9.5.

 

 

This is after main Syracuse WR was confirmed out with an injury? I'm confused. What am I missing here?

ND opened at -11, then went to -12 and all of a sudden have taken a clip to -9.5.

 

 

This is after main Syracuse WR was confirmed out with an injury? I'm confused. What am I missing here?

 

I was at one of the Sports' Books on the Strip today and saw the line at 9.5 and was shocked. Thought I'd see it around 13.5.

I'm sure I could find it but...what is ND's record vs the spread this year, last 3 years, last 5?

 

Seems like they never cover.

I'm sure I could find it but...what is ND's record vs the spread this year, last 3 years, last 5?

 

Seems like they never cover.

 

2-1 this year, missing vs Purdue. I'll try to find past seasons.

some good info for you bettors.

 

http://linemakers.sportingnews.com/ncaa-football/2014-09-24/notre-dame-syracuse-line-pick-point-spread-betting-odds-vegas-week-5-ncaaf

They probably received a lot of bets early taking Syracuse and the 13 points. Now they have to off set it with bets from the ND fans. It is a business.

The spread could go up again.

People forget that its not an indication of their confidence in one team versus the other. The lines moves to attract more bets.

People forget that its not an indication of their confidence in one team versus the other. The lines moves to attract more bets.

 

Yes, this is true. From someone who used to get into betting pretty big for a while, I have noticed if the spread goes up by more than 3, it was a pretty good bet. When the line goes down, I never found it to be as significant. It does show that some heavy hitters are going with Syracuse on this one though.

Yes, this is true. From someone who used to get into betting pretty big for a while, I have noticed if the spread goes up by more than 3, it was a pretty good bet. When the line goes down, I never found it to be as significant. It does show that some heavy hitters are going with Syracuse on this one though.

 

Yeah, I see that. Many of the "predictor" websites have people taking Syracuse with the points.

Don't overlook 'Cuse.. I think they'll play us closer than most expect.

 

I know this never really holds up.. but.. they beat Central Michigan 40-3, who beat Purdue 38-17. I'm not saying we'll lose or anything, I'm just saying don't be surprised if it's a game heading into the 4th.

Edited September 25, 201410 yr by Rattlesnake

I'm sure I could find it but...what is ND's record vs the spread this year, last 3 years, last 5?

 

Seems like they never cover.

 

2014- 2-1

2013- 5-7-1

2012- 7-6

 

http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncf/teams/pastresults/2014-2015/team102.html

ND opened at -11, then went to -12 and all of a sudden have taken a clip to -9.5.

 

 

This is after main Syracuse WR was confirmed out with an injury? I'm confused. What am I missing here?

 

The money moved the line moreso than the injury news. There is an equation or algorithm that minimizes risk and maximizes reward that changes the line based on how much money is pushed either way.

 

The house ALWAYS wins..in the end

The fact this line moved below 10 and is basically begging you to take ND makes me much more nervous about the game this Saturday.

The money moved the line moreso than the injury news. There is an equation or algorithm that minimizes risk and maximizes reward that changes the line based on how much money is pushed either way.

 

The house ALWAYS wins..in the end

 

One of my finance professors used to set those lines, it is ridiculously complex.

Don't overlook 'Cuse.. I think they'll play us closer than most expect.

 

I know this never really holds up.. but.. they beat Central Michigan 40-3, who beat Purdue 38-17. I'm not saying we'll lose or anything, I'm just saying don't be surprised if it's a game heading into the 4th.

 

Honestly, I believe ND will win fairly handily. The transitive property means nothing in football, not even a little. People are putting way too much into the Purdue game. A let down was inevitable after Michigan and Purdue always shows up to play ND.

just remember, the line for the Michigan game was ND -5.5. That game turned out just fine.

Notre Dame will win by at least 2 touchdowns

It is a very curious line move so early in the week though, particularly as the line has moved against ND.

 

 

Notre Dame lines are generally inflated due to public money being put down by the average punter. For the line to move in the opposite direction this much after sharp money had driven the line upwards is a strange trend.

 

 

The Syracuse injury won't affect the line for the bookmakers odds but it can affect public opinion which thereafter will impact their betting trends.

 

I don't see how this could possibly go any lower so I'm going to gobble up the -9.5 and get the popcorn ready.

just remember, the line for the Michigan game was ND -5.5. That game turned out just fine.

 

I got that line at 3.5 haha. Not that it mattered.

The fact this line moved below 10 and is basically begging you to take ND makes me much more nervous about the game this Saturday.

 

The line should do nothing to sway your judgement on your own analysis for the game. The lines are set for the general public to bet certain ways. If you thought ND would win handily a few days ago, it shouldn't change because of the line.