They are probably going to lose twice in the regular season (see my "Probability" thread if you don't believe me).
Notre Dame is playing quality competition almost every week. Yes, Stanford, Oklahoma, and USC are all beatable; but those three teams are a combined 12-3. Each of those three aforementioned teams are capable of beating any team in America based on their talent, experience, and coaching (maybe the verdict is still out on the coaching part).
Add in BYU, 4-2, with the 3rd ranked defense in the nation: that gives you four tough games ahead. We also play BC, Wake Forest, and Pitt. Those teams are not very good so far this year; but sometimes teams like that, especially teams with new coaching staffs, make big improvements throughout the year. If we sleep on them or lose our focus for just a couple hours one Saturday, we very well might wake up watching an opposing kicker with the game in his hands and no time left for a comeback.
We still have a sophomore quarterback who is still going to make sophomore mistakes. Oh, he is very very gifted, but he also has his liabilities. Do not confuse Everett Golson, version 2012, with Andrew Luck or Robert Griffin, version 2011.
Will I be disappointed if/when ND loses? Well... alright, I admit that yes, I will be.
Can I see that there is a possibility for ND to win every game and a National Championship? I do, and I freely admit that the possibility is better than, for example, my chance of winning the lottery (which is why I don't play the lottery BTW).
Am I excited about the hype? To a point I am, because it is good for America, good for sports in general, good for college football, and good for Notre Dame. On the other hand, I know a lot of people are waiting for just one or two losses to rub their nasty little hands together and say, "ND is not back, suckers; I told you so."
So here is what I am doing. I am calling to mind the understanding we all had in the summer: our year will be 2013. I do that, not with a view toward giving up on a season almost at the halfway point when we are still undefeated, but with a view toward putting this season in perspective.
That perspective is: we have already accomplished a lot just by being consistent enough to win against 3-4 quality teams. Our last four opponents are a combined 14-8, and 14-4 if you take out their losses to us. This Notre Dame team has already shown that it is maturing very nicely, it is showing the characteristics necessary to win 10-13 games per year, and it is doing the things that should make a fan base proud.
We are going to lose a game or two or three this year. Yes. We are also going to win 10 or more. Yes, I'll take it.
For those haters who have already decided to criticize the Irish when we lose our first game, no matter how that outcome unfolds; I will be completely unfazed by their evil sophistry.
I am not expecting a loss because I do not believe in this team. I am expecting it to happen because I know that not every great team can win every game.
There is usually only one undefeated team at the end of the season, only one team that gets to hoist the crystal football, only one National Champion. There are also always a few more teams who can feel like they persevered, like they accomplished something important, like they won even if they did not win them all.
Notre Dame will lose, but Notre Dame is winning now. Notre Dame will continue to win. Let that realization be the one that overrides the fear, the hesitancy, and the doubt. Let that knowledge power us.
This team is probably going to lose this year.
They are probably going to lose twice in the regular season (see my "Probability" thread if you don't believe me).
Notre Dame is playing quality competition almost every week. Yes, Stanford, Oklahoma, and USC are all beatable; but those three teams are a combined 12-3. Each of those three aforementioned teams are capable of beating any team in America based on their talent, experience, and coaching (maybe the verdict is still out on the coaching part).
Add in BYU, 4-2, with the 3rd ranked defense in the nation: that gives you four tough games ahead. We also play BC, Wake Forest, and Pitt. Those teams are not very good so far this year; but sometimes teams like that, especially teams with new coaching staffs, make big improvements throughout the year. If we sleep on them or lose our focus for just a couple hours one Saturday, we very well might wake up watching an opposing kicker with the game in his hands and no time left for a comeback.
http://www.bc.edu/publications/chronicle/meta-elements/jpg/TheKick.jpg
We still have a sophomore quarterback who is still going to make sophomore mistakes. Oh, he is very very gifted, but he also has his liabilities. Do not confuse Everett Golson, version 2012, with Andrew Luck or Robert Griffin, version 2011.
http://www.siamsport.co.th/_PicOther/O120906F2U1N.jpg
Will I be disappointed if/when ND loses? Well... alright, I admit that yes, I will be.
Can I see that there is a possibility for ND to win every game and a National Championship? I do, and I freely admit that the possibility is better than, for example, my chance of winning the lottery (which is why I don't play the lottery BTW).
Am I excited about the hype? To a point I am, because it is good for America, good for sports in general, good for college football, and good for Notre Dame. On the other hand, I know a lot of people are waiting for just one or two losses to rub their nasty little hands together and say, "ND is not back, suckers; I told you so."
http://shop.sportsworldcards.com/ekmps/shops/sportsworld/images/washington-redskins-mark-may-255-rookie-card-topps-1989-nfl-american-football-trading-card-37608-p.jpg
So here is what I am doing. I am calling to mind the understanding we all had in the summer: our year will be 2013. I do that, not with a view toward giving up on a season almost at the halfway point when we are still undefeated, but with a view toward putting this season in perspective.
That perspective is: we have already accomplished a lot just by being consistent enough to win against 3-4 quality teams. Our last four opponents are a combined 14-8, and 14-4 if you take out their losses to us. This Notre Dame team has already shown that it is maturing very nicely, it is showing the characteristics necessary to win 10-13 games per year, and it is doing the things that should make a fan base proud.
http://cdn.bleacherreport.net/images_root/slides/photos/002/666/918/hi-res-153682989_crop_650x440.jpg?1349987534
We are going to lose a game or two or three this year. Yes. We are also going to win 10 or more. Yes, I'll take it.
For those haters who have already decided to criticize the Irish when we lose our first game, no matter how that outcome unfolds; I will be completely unfazed by their evil sophistry.
I am not expecting a loss because I do not believe in this team. I am expecting it to happen because I know that not every great team can win every game.
There is usually only one undefeated team at the end of the season, only one team that gets to hoist the crystal football, only one National Champion. There are also always a few more teams who can feel like they persevered, like they accomplished something important, like they won even if they did not win them all.
Notre Dame will lose, but Notre Dame is winning now. Notre Dame will continue to win. Let that realization be the one that overrides the fear, the hesitancy, and the doubt. Let that knowledge power us.
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Edited by 2lakes