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echo88 4 posts
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hawaiiirish 4 posts
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NDhoosier 4 posts
Its not a pleasant topic-----but we likely will lose a game eventually.
For my 10-3 that gives us three losses to give including the bowl game, obviously the longer we can keep winning the better the chances of hitting that elusive 10 win mark.
I have listed my odds on which team will hand us loss #1---remember this is not what teams we will likely lose to but which team will get us first. So the odds on USC are fairly high because we would have to be 11-0 when we play them for them to be the first loss---11-0 is a tiny stretch for most of us---
So here are the odds as i figure them based on a blend of proximity on the schedule and the strength of the opponent.
ODDS THIS TEAM HANDS US LOSS #1--
Miami--3-1
Stanford--even
BYU----4-1
Oklahoma--2-1
Pitt-----7-1
BC-----11-1
Wake--12-1
USC----9-1
BOWL OPPONENT---15-1
The odds go way up after oklahoma simply because the odds of coming out of Oklahoma 8-0 are pretty low---
Give me your best guess---
I worry about all three games coming next--Miami/Stanford/BYU---but i think i like the bye week against miami--i think we are due at home against stanford--and i hate to entertain the idea of BYU beating us at all, yet alone first---
SO MY GUESS IS 7-0 going into oklahoma and 7-1 coming out of it----
SO OKLAHOMA ---
7-1 would be terrrific though and give us a real shot at BCS and /or 11 wins and make ten wins seem very solid---
The next four games do have alot of potential pittfalls though!
what do you think---
aloha's go irish!