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First we need to win out... No questions asked. Must win every game and preferably in some dominating performances against Wash St., BC, Navy and Pitt... That helps with the polls which are a part of the BCS formula.

-------------------------------------

We will need some help along the way...

 

Must be in the top 12 to be eligible...Here's how we jump up to that point...

 

Kansas - Must lose to Texas and Missouri. Not exactly tough to imagine...So we have now jumped to #25

 

South Carolina - Florida needs to blow them out...

...now @ 24

 

West Virginia - Lose to Cincinnati...However, we would also like them lose to Pittsburgh

...now @ 23

 

Arizona - Cal, Oregon, ASU, and USC... I can't see them doing any better than splitting

...now @ 22

 

Wisconsin - Weakest schedule in the Big 10; Michigan at home and @Northwestern could be trap games...So we need Michigan to win here, which will help our strength of schedule, however Wisconsin would likely finish on the outside of the BCS even if they win out, because Iowa, Penn State and Ohio State are all ahead of them in the polls and only two teams per conference can make the BCS...Out by default.

 

Pittsburgh - Want them to run the table until we get to them...Boom.

...now @20/21

 

Ohio State - Penn State, Iowa and @ Michigan...Would prefer them to beat PSU and lose to Iowa giving them the driver's seat to the BCS and Michigan beating OSU could also help our strength of schedule...For now let's rule them out by default and losing in conference

...now @19/20

 

Utah - @ TCU and @ BYU to close the season. I'm hoping for a loss to TCU and beating BYU on the final game of the season, in a rivalry game that keeps BYU's momentum down at the end of the season

...Now @ 18/19

 

Houston - @ Tulsa; Otherwise an easy schedule to finish up with; making this game critical to our chances... Mark your calendars. November 7th is a critical matchup for us.

...Now @ 17

 

BYU - TCU and Utah still to go... Likely split will help us out. Ideally losing to Utah and beating TCU...TCU losing earlier than the final week of the season helps us a lot.

...Now @ 16

 

Oklahoma St -Texas, Texas Tech and @ Oklahoma to finish the syear...Need them to lose to Texas and anything else is irrelevant, as they will be a 3rd team in the Big12 behind Texas and whoever wins the North...I also think Oklahoma wins that game at the end of the year in a rivalry game...keeping them out of the conversation for good.

...Now @ 15

 

Va Tech - North Carolina is the only .500 team left on their schedule... However, they would be behind Miami and Georgia Tech; meaning they would be out by default.

 

Penn State - @ Michigan is a trap game; Ohio State also could be trouble. If they lose to Ohio State, they are out and the big ten only sends one team to the BCS...Rose Bowl-Iowa

Mark your calendars for OSU v. PSU

 

Ga Tech - Georgia is the only tough game on their schedule to close, which is big because if VaTech and Miami can hold serve they would be eliminating VaTech who we don't match up well with...I think they are IN

 

Oregon - USC and Arizona are ahead for them...and @ Stanford. Oregon loses to USC; but still finishes second in the PAC-10 creates problems.

 

Miami (FL) - Should be favored in every game down the stretch...They are IN

 

LSU - Alabama still ahead and the 3rd team in the SEC; no bcs by default

 

TCU -BYU and Utah are ahead...Someone has to knock them off and preferably lose in the season finale against one another.

 

USC - Oregon and Arizona are the only ranked teams left, but that shouldn't bother USC

 

Iowa - @ Ohio State could be a tough one...Otherwise Rose Bowl

 

Cincinnati - West Virginia, Pittsburgh and Uconn are tough ones ahead

 

Boise State -No threats left on schedule...

 

Texas - Oklahoma State, Kansas, and @ Texas A&M

 

Alabama - LSU, @ Auburn, SEC title game

 

Florida - Georgia, So. Carolina and Florida State remain...no real threats

 

So here we have it...

 

Rose Bowl

Iowa v. USC

(Big Ten Champ v. Pac-10 Champ)

 

Sugar Bowl

Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech

(At-Large v. ACC Champ)

 

Fiesta Bowl

Boise State v. Cincinnati

(At-Large v. Big East Champ)

 

Orange Bowl

Florida v. Miami

(At-Large v. At-Large)

 

BCS - Championship Bowl Game (Fiesta pt. 2)

Alabama v. Texas

(SEC Champ v. Big 12 Champ) (#1 v. #2)

 

Outside Looking In... AKA who we screwed over - TCU / Oregon

 

One team from Big 12 - Texas (Oklahoma State losing to Oklahoma eliminates them)

One team from Big East - Cincinnati (Pitt's loss to ND eliminates them)

One team from Big 10 - Iowa (Penn State loss to OSU kills them)

Two teams from SEC - Alabama

One team from Pac 10 - USC

Two teams from ACC - Georgia Tech will likely win out

At-Large - Florida

At-Large - Miami / VaTech

At-Large - Boise State

At-Large - Notre Dame

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when you put it that way it seems very possible.

 

i hope ND doesn't go to a BCS game i'd much rather see ND go to a lesser bowl and win instead of playing a top 10 team and getting our skulls crushed in.

it's top 14 to qualify for an at large birth coach----that should make the road quite abit easier--- and yes NO DOUBT we must go 10-2-- but we'll get in if we do!----aloha Go irish

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OK, so it's a new season from here in... We need to start this weekend with a win over Boston College and let the rest of the season run like this...

 

So on the calendar we need it to run like so....

 

 

Week 1 -

TCU v. BYU - BYU only helps us here

 

Week 2 -

Texas v. OK State - Go Texas !!

USC v. Oregon - USC rolls

 

Week 3 -

LSU v. Bama - Roll Tide

Ohio State v. Penn State - Go Buckeyes

 

Week 4

West Virginia @ Cincy - Bearcats win

Iowa @ Ohio State - Go Hawkeyes

ND @ Pitt - Must win for Irish

Utah @ TCU - Cheering for Utah

 

Week 5

Kansas @ Texas - Go Texas !!

Oregon @ Arizona - Elimination either way

Ohio State @ Michigan - Go Michigan ??!?

 

Week 6

Pitt @ West Virginia - Pitt helps with a win

OK State @ Oklahoma - Oklahoma helps the cause

Utah @ BYU - Lower seeded team wins helps us

 

Week 7

Oregon State @ Oregon - Could be a big win for Or. State

Cincy @ Pitt - Can go either way if WVU is out of the picture

Arizona @ USC - USC wins and clinches Rose Bowl.

 

None of these are exactly upsets along the way, so let's see what happens...

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when you put it that way it seems very possible.

 

i hope ND doesn't go to a BCS game i'd much rather see ND go to a lesser bowl and win instead of playing a top 10 team and getting our skulls crushed in.

 

We would likely face Virginia Tech, Oregon or Oklahoma State if we don't make the BCS... Not exactly good matchups for us...Although I think we would beat Oregon.

We would likely face Virginia Tech, Oregon or Oklahoma State if we don't make the BCS... Not exactly good matchups for us...Although I think we would beat Oregon.

i don't like those matchups either. if ND made the gator bowl it would most likely be georgia tech, miami or VT. i think i'd much rather go to el paso and play in the sun bowl.

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i don't like those matchups either. if ND made the gator bowl it would most likely be georgia tech, miami or VT. i think i'd much rather go to el paso and play in the sun bowl.

 

Sun Bowl v. Oklahoma State, with a likely re-instated Dez Bryant trying to make a name for himself leading up to the draft ...(GULP!)

 

or

 

Oklahoma...with a healthy Sam Bradford...That would be a helluva game!

 

or

 

Texas Tech...please NO! not that offense in warm weather.

Sun Bowl v. Oklahoma State, with a likely re-instated Dez Bryant trying to make a name for himself leading up to the draft ...(GULP!)

 

or

 

Oklahoma...with a healthy Sam Bradford...That would be a helluva game!

 

or

 

Texas Tech...please NO! not that offense in warm weather.

im not looking forward to bowl season.

Fiesta would be so sweet. I'm really pulling for them to get there. Kelly V Wies.

Coach

Thanks for the extensive scenario analysis. I think you summed up everything with the quote:

OK, so it's a new season from here in...

 

Totally agree. Just win, baby - let the scenarios begin!!

Fiesta would be so sweet. I'm really pulling for them to get there. Kelly V Wies.

yeah i think i'd be okay with ND playing the big east champ in a BCS game. i so miss ND playing in the orange bowl.

LOL-- all that is true dangeruss--- but the theory we will have better chances in a lesser bowl probably doesnt work this year---given our team-- last second to purdue-- last second to USC----whoever we play in whatever bowl-- most likely goes to the last series--- lol--- might as well be the biggest bowl we can get! aloha go irish

First we need to win out... No questions asked. Must win every game and preferably in some dominating performances against Wash St., BC, Navy and Pitt... That helps with the polls which are a part of the BCS formula.

-------------------------------------

We will need some help along the way...

 

Must be in the top 12 to be eligible...Here's how we jump up to that point...

 

Kansas - Must lose to Texas and Missouri. Not exactly tough to imagine...So we have now jumped to #25

 

South Carolina - Florida needs to blow them out...

...now @ 24

 

West Virginia - Lose to Cincinnati...However, we would also like them lose to Pittsburgh

...now @ 23

 

Arizona - Cal, Oregon, ASU, and USC... I can't see them doing any better than splitting

...now @ 22

 

Wisconsin - Weakest schedule in the Big 10; Michigan at home and @Northwestern could be trap games...So we need Michigan to win here, which will help our strength of schedule, however Wisconsin would likely finish on the outside of the BCS even if they win out, because Iowa, Penn State and Ohio State are all ahead of them in the polls and only two teams per conference can make the BCS...Out by default.

 

Pittsburgh - Want them to run the table until we get to them...Boom.

...now @20/21

 

Ohio State - Penn State, Iowa and @ Michigan...Would prefer them to beat PSU and lose to Iowa giving them the driver's seat to the BCS and Michigan beating OSU could also help our strength of schedule...For now let's rule them out by default and losing in conference

...now @19/20

 

Utah - @ TCU and @ BYU to close the season. I'm hoping for a loss to TCU and beating BYU on the final game of the season, in a rivalry game that keeps BYU's momentum down at the end of the season

...Now @ 18/19

 

Houston - @ Tulsa; Otherwise an easy schedule to finish up with; making this game critical to our chances... Mark your calendars. November 7th is a critical matchup for us.

...Now @ 17

 

BYU - TCU and Utah still to go... Likely split will help us out. Ideally losing to Utah and beating TCU...TCU losing earlier than the final week of the season helps us a lot.

...Now @ 16

 

Oklahoma St -Texas, Texas Tech and @ Oklahoma to finish the syear...Need them to lose to Texas and anything else is irrelevant, as they will be a 3rd team in the Big12 behind Texas and whoever wins the North...I also think Oklahoma wins that game at the end of the year in a rivalry game...keeping them out of the conversation for good.

...Now @ 15

 

Va Tech - North Carolina is the only .500 team left on their schedule... However, they would be behind Miami and Georgia Tech; meaning they would be out by default.

 

Penn State - @ Michigan is a trap game; Ohio State also could be trouble. If they lose to Ohio State, they are out and the big ten only sends one team to the BCS...Rose Bowl-Iowa

Mark your calendars for OSU v. PSU

 

Ga Tech - Georgia is the only tough game on their schedule to close, which is big because if VaTech and Miami can hold serve they would be eliminating VaTech who we don't match up well with...I think they are IN

 

Oregon - USC and Arizona are ahead for them...and @ Stanford. Oregon loses to USC; but still finishes second in the PAC-10 creates problems.

 

Miami (FL) - Should be favored in every game down the stretch...They are IN

 

LSU - Alabama still ahead and the 3rd team in the SEC; no bcs by default

 

TCU -BYU and Utah are ahead...Someone has to knock them off and preferably lose in the season finale against one another.

 

USC - Oregon and Arizona are the only ranked teams left, but that shouldn't bother USC

 

Iowa - @ Ohio State could be a tough one...Otherwise Rose Bowl

 

Cincinnati - West Virginia, Pittsburgh and Uconn are tough ones ahead

 

Boise State -No threats left on schedule...

 

Texas - Oklahoma State, Kansas, and @ Texas A&M

 

Alabama - LSU, @ Auburn, SEC title game

 

Florida - Georgia, So. Carolina and Florida State remain...no real threats

 

So here we have it...

 

Rose Bowl

Iowa v. USC

(Big Ten Champ v. Pac-10 Champ)

 

Sugar Bowl

Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech

(At-Large v. ACC Champ)

 

Fiesta Bowl

Boise State v. Cincinnati

(At-Large v. Big East Champ)

 

Orange Bowl

Florida v. Miami

(At-Large v. At-Large)

 

BCS - Championship Bowl Game (Fiesta pt. 2)

Alabama v. Texas

(SEC Champ v. Big 12 Champ) (#1 v. #2)

 

Outside Looking In... AKA who we screwed over - TCU / Oregon

 

One team from Big 12 - Texas (Oklahoma State losing to Oklahoma eliminates them)

One team from Big East - Cincinnati (Pitt's loss to ND eliminates them)

One team from Big 10 - Iowa (Penn State loss to OSU kills them)

Two teams from SEC - Alabama

One team from Pac 10 - USC

Two teams from ACC - Georgia Tech will likely win out

At-Large - Florida

At-Large - Miami / VaTech

At-Large - Boise State

At-Large - Notre Dame

 

(In my best Jim Carey voice)

 

"So, your saying there's a chance!" ;)

ND BCS formula- win 10 games, get selected, hear the other potential at-large teams whine.

Coach, never going to doubt a word you say from here on out. That was one thorough roadmap to the BCS for us.

 

Here's hoping we don't get lost on the way.

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