What matters more to the Playoff Selection Committee, good wins or āgoodā losses? And is a 1-loss team always better than a 2-loss team?In 2014, the first season that featured a four-team playoff, ESPN aired the initial rankings in primetime on October 28th. At that point in the season, Notre Dame was 6-1, with its only blemish being a controversial 4-point loss to #2 Florida State, the defending national champions. At that point in the season, Notre Dame only had one Top 25 win on its resume (a 17-14 win over #14 Stanford after a 4th-and-11 touchdown pass from Everett Golson to Ben Koyack with one minute left). Still, despite the dearth of quality wins, many media members pegged Notre Dame as a borderline Top 5 team given the near miss against Florida State two weeks prior. The Committee had other ideas. Notre Dame appeared 10th in the initial rankings, and they never rose higher, as the 2014 season turned into a disaster in November after a 55-31 thrashing at the hands of Arizona State was followed by three consecutive losses. In the first season of the Playoff, the Committeeās rankings signaled that it valued good wins more than āgoodā losses. Flash forward ten seasons, and that premise seemed to hold true for most of the four-team playoff era, as the Committee generally rewarded teams with the best wins over teams that could only tout āgoodā losses. In 2024, this same issue is creeping to the forefront. For example, how does the Committee evaluate 8-1 Penn State, a team that lacks quality wins (zero Top 25 wins), but has a āgoodā loss to 8-1 Ohio State. Despite lacking quality wins, Penn State was 6th in the first rankings by virtue of its āgoodā loss to Ohio State. Notre Dame was ranked 10th despite having two Top 25 wins. Notre Dameās loss to Northern Illinois seemed to drag the Irish down, as they found themselves ranked lower than five other 1-loss teams (Ohio State, Georgia, Texas, Penn State, Tennessee), despite having more Top 25 wins than four of them (Texas and Penn State have zero, while Tennessee and Ohio State have one).Not only is there a question of how the Committee compares good wins to āgoodā losses, but there is also a question of whether 1-loss teams will continue to be looked upon more favorably than 2-loss teams. That was always the case in the four-team playoff, but in the twelve-team playoff, it is a question that has yet to be answered. That may change this week.While Notre Dame moved up to 8th in this weekās AP Poll after a 52-3 demolition of hapless Florida State, things have gotten murkier as the SEC. The 16-team power conference currently features a glut of teams (eight) with two or fewer conference losses. The 2024 Playoff is shaping up to be a battle between Notre Dame and the SEC for a coveted spot in the 12-team playoff. How does the Committee compare the 1-loss Irish to the 2-loss teams from what is widely-regarded as college footballās best conference?While itās unclear what the Committee will do with Notre Dame this week, statistics (and the āeye testā) support Notre Dame not only maintaining its Top 10 ranking but moving up. Week 11 saw Miami (previously ranked 4th) suffer its first loss against Georgia Tech, a team that Notre Dame beat by 18 points two weeks prior, Georgia (ranked 3rd) suffer its second loss to Ole Miss by 18 points, and Alabama (ranked 11th) beat 15th ranked LSU 42-13 in Baton Rouge. What does the Committee do with 1-loss Notre Dame and the following 2-loss SEC teams: Alabama, Ole Miss, and Georgia?If the Committee still values quality wins over everything else, then Notre Dame should be ranked 8th or 9th, moving ahead of 1-loss Miami and 2-loss Georgia. Notre Dame has two Top 25 wins, with the road win at Texas A&M looking better each week and the Louisville win becoming more impressive after the Cardinals thumped Clemson in Death Valley last weekend. The problem for Notre Dame is that its two Top 25 wins are equaled by Georgia (Clemson and Texas) and Ole Miss (South Carolina and Georgia). While Georgia has two impressive wins, their two losses (and other near misses) probably relegate them to a spot behind Notre Dame, which is reflected in the AP Poll where Notre Dame is ranked 8th and Georgia is ranked 11th. The key question is whether Alabama and Ole Miss, which both rank behind Notre Dame in the AP Poll at 9th and 10th, respectively, stay behind the Irish in the second College Football Playoff rankings set to be released tonight. Itās hard to argue against Alabama moving past Notre Dame (and others) because the Tide have four Top 25 wins (Georgia, South Carolina, Missouri, LSU), which is more than any other team in the country. While Ole Miss has the same number of Top 25 wins as Notre Dame, it has a second loss. How the Committee ranks these SEC teams compared to Notre Dame will say a lot about whether Notre Dame can move up enough to host a First Round Playoff game.For Notre Dame fans, while the last seven weeks have been filled with Irish blowouts, the Northern Illinois loss remains in the minds of the voters. That loss is, by far, the worst loss among the true College Football Playoff contenders. Yet, Notre Dame should be in a position to host a Playoff game by virtue of its two Top 25 wins and its average 34-point margin of victory over the last seven weeks. While Notre Dameās strength of schedule has been a talking point (and deservedly so), Notre Dameās offensive and defensive rankings are impressive. FEI, which accounts for disparate SOS by ranking teams based on opponent-adjusted efficiency, ranks Notre Dame 14th on offense, 5th on defense, and 8th overall, behind only Ohio State, Oregon, Texas, Ole Miss, Alabama, Penn State, and Georgia, and ahead of Indiana, Miami, Tennessee, and BYU. So, the question remains, will Notre Dame continue to be punished for the Northern Illinois loss and get jumped by one or two 2-loss SEC teams this week, or will the Committee continue to value Notre Dameās wins more than its bad loss?